Data story · October 20, 2026 · Data as of October 20, 2026

Shoulder condition VA claims: what the Board relied on in grants and denials

What the Board of Veterans' Appeals' shoulder decisions contained when it granted service connection and when it denied it: medical opinions, credibility, service records, how the dominant arm changes the rating, and what denials said was missing.

What does VA need to service connect a shoulder condition?

Generally a current shoulder disability, an injury or disease in service, and a medical link between the two; 38 CFR 3.303 sets out the principles. Shoulder arthritis can also be presumed if it reached a compensable level within a year of discharge (38 CFR 3.307(a)(3) and 38 CFR 3.309(a)).

For combat veterans, also lets a credible account of an injury in combat prove it happened. A shoulder strain in service often goes unrecorded, so the link between the duties and the current condition carries much of the claim.

Most shoulder claims are sent back first

Of 13,235 veterans whose shoulder claim the Board decided from 2020 to 2025, it granted 17.7%, denied 25.3% and remanded 57.0%. The comparison below sets the 2,339 grants against the 3,352 denials.

What the Board's shoulder condition decisions contained: grants vs denials
In grants (2,339 veterans) In denials (3,352 veterans)

The event in service

  • Combat service

    10%
    6%
  • Service records discussed

    90%
    96%

Medical evidence

  • Positive nexus opinion

    50%
    9%
  • Favorable VA exam

    24%
    6%
  • Private medical opinion

    51%
    30%
  • Treating doctor's opinion

    11%
    3%
  • Unfavorable VA exam

    80%
    84%
  • Negative nexus opinion

    66%
    73%

Statements and credibility

  • Veteran's own statement

    91%
    92%
  • Buddy statement

    9%
    4%
  • Board found the veteran credible

    61%
    11%
  • Board doubted the veteran's credibility

    7%
    27%

How the Board weighed it

  • Benefit of the doubt applied

    80%
    10%

Share of granted (green) and denied (gray) veterans whose decision contained each item, as extracted by AI from the decision text. Remanded claims are left out of this comparison. This shows what the decisions contained, not what caused the result.

What separated shoulder grants from denials?

A positive nexus opinion was in 50.0% of grants and 9.1% of denials, and the Board found the veteran credible in 61.4% of grants and 11.4% of denials. With both, it granted 78.0%; with neither, 4.0%.

Veteran found credible and positive nexus opinion: how often the Board granted

Positive nexus opinion

No positive opinion

Veteran found credible

78%

granted · 644 of 826

44%

granted · 791 of 1,800

Not found credible

44%

granted · 525 of 1,201

4%

granted · 379 of 9,408

One count per veteran; a remand counts as not granted.

With both, the Board granted 644 of 826 claims. A credibility finding without a positive opinion was granted 43.9%, and a positive opinion without a credibility finding 43.7%. Most claims had neither: 9,408 veterans, of whom 379 were granted.

Why are shoulder claims denied?

For 3,313 denials, the decision summary noted what was missing: a medical link in 67.8% of them and the in-service injury in 53.1%. The diagnosis was rarely the problem (10.0%).

The Board doubted the veteran's credibility in 27.1% of denials and 7.4% of grants. In the denial below, statements about continuous symptoms since service conflicted with the medical records.

Does VA rate the dominant shoulder higher?

Usually, yes. Shoulder and arm conditions are rated under DC 5200 to DC 5203 in 38 CFR 4.71a, most often DC 5201 for limited motion of the arm. Under DC 5201 the dominant arm gets a higher rating for the same limitation, except when motion is limited only at shoulder level, where both arms are rated the same. Under 38 CFR 4.69, handedness comes from the record or from testing at the VA exam.

The exam should record which arm is dominant and the range of motion of both shoulders. A rating that treats the dominant shoulder as the other arm can be appealed.

Does a negative VA opinion end a shoulder claim?

No. An unfavorable VA exam was in 80.3% of grants, because the Board weighs it against the other evidence. A private medical opinion was in 51.1% of grants and 29.9% of denials.

The Board can find a VA opinion inadequate, for example when it ignores the physical demands of the veteran's duties. In the second grant below, a private opinion that cited medical literature and those demands carried the claim.

Read the decisions

Recent decisions, with the Board's reasoning as summarized by AI:

  • , December 2025: right shoulder rotator cuff tendinitis and bursitis granted; the veteran reported pain and popping during runs and ruck marches with tight pack straps, with symptoms ever since.
  • , December 2025: right shoulder impingement with rotator cuff strain granted; the service records showed no specific injury, but a private opinion linked it to paratrooper training and the physical demands of the job.
  • , December 2025: left shoulder impingement denied; no complaints or treatment in service, and statements about continuous symptoms were not credible because they conflicted with the medical records.

What the data cannot tell you

These are what the decisions contained, not what caused the result. Some items, such as a credibility finding or the benefit of the doubt, are part of how the Board explains a grant. The evidence items were extracted by AI and apply to the whole decision. Increased-rating claims are left out. Historical outcomes, not predictions.

For representatives

  • Get a medical opinion that addresses the duties or injury in service and explains the link; denials turned on that most often.
  • Keep the veteran's account consistent with the treatment records; inconsistency is the most common credibility problem.
  • At the exam, make sure the dominant arm is recorded; it changes the rating.

Explore the data

Read the decisions behind this story

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About the data

Board of Veterans' Appeals decisions 2020-2025 (bva_cases_v2 lead basis): shoulder condition (DC 5200-5203, 5051, and shoulder arthritis under 5003 / 5010) service connection issues (not increased-rating, effective-date or TDIU issues). Each veteran is counted once, at the best ruling in the decision; grant share = granted / all decided, so a remand counts as not granted. Evidence flags were extracted by AI from each decision and apply to the whole decision, not one issue. Grants vs denials shows what the decisions contained, not what caused the result. Historical outcomes, not predictions. Queried October 20, 2026. Every figure in this story is computed from the query results, and the AI-extracted data can contain errors. The figures are fixed as of that date. Related research pages describe their own data dates and methods.

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Where this data comes from

  1. Claim
  2. Regional office decides
  3. Veteran appeals
  4. Board decides
  5. Granted · Denied · Remanded: back to the regional office

Board of Veterans' Appeals decisions show how VA's highest review body applies 38 CFR and weighs evidence on contested claims.

Each one is an appeal: a regional office decided the claim first, and the veteran appealed. So these rates describe the Board, not a veteran's odds at the regional office, where most claims are decided and whose decisions are not public.

More on what Board decisions can and cannot tell you